{"id":4953,"date":"2026-06-15T11:29:47","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T09:29:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.manage-now.de\/?p=4953"},"modified":"2026-07-01T14:21:00","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T12:21:00","slug":"harvest-now-decrypt-later-why-migration-to-post-quantum-cryptography-must-begin-today-not-only-once-quantum-computers-are-operational","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.manage-now.de\/en\/blog\/harvest-now-decrypt-later-why-migration-to-post-quantum-cryptography-must-begin-today-not-only-once-quantum-computers-are-operational\/","title":{"rendered":"Post-Quantum Cryptography: Why IT Decision-Makers Must Act Now\u2014Not When Quantum Computers Become Operational"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div style=\"height:41px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"page-content\"\n         data-header=\"dark\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                    <div class=\"details-text-content\">\n                                <p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) is no longer a future option\u2014it is an immediate security necessity. State actors are already harvesting encrypted data today with the intention of decrypting it once quantum computing reaches a breakthrough. The real urgency is not driven by the quantum computer itself, but by the time required for migration: typical migration projects take five to ten years. Organizations that do not start now are unlikely to complete the transition in time.  <\/em><\/p>\n                    <\/div>\n        \n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div style=\"height:41px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"page-content\"\n         data-header=\"dark\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                    <div class=\"details-text-content\">\n                                <h2>Why Is Today&#039;s Encryption Threatened by Quantum Computers?<\/h2><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"62:1-62:442;2983-3424\">The Public Key Infrastructure (PKI), which underpins a large portion of digital security, is based on mathematical problems that classical computers cannot solve within a practical timeframe: the factorization of large integers (RSA) and the discrete logarithm problem (Elliptic Curve Cryptography, ECC). A sufficiently powerful quantum computer can solve these problems in polynomial time using Shor\u2019s algorithm. <\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"64:1-64:337;3426-3762\">This means that every digital signature, key exchange, VPN connection, and TLS certificate based on RSA or ECC is vulnerable to attack by a sufficiently powerful quantum computer. In addition, Grover\u2019s algorithm weakens symmetric encryption algorithms such as AES, making the use of longer key lengths necessary. <\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"66:1-66:178;3764-3941\">For IT decision-makers, this means that the entire existing cryptographic infrastructure will need to be replaced over the medium term. The question is no longer if this transition will happen, but when\u2014and how systematically it can be managed. <\/p>\n                    <\/div>\n        \n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div style=\"height:41px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"page-content\"\n         data-header=\"dark\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                    <div class=\"details-text-content\">\n                                <h2>What Is \u201cHarvest Now, Decrypt Later\u201d \u2013 and Why Is the Risk Already Real Today?<\/h2><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"72:1-72:420;4039-4458\">The most immediate risk posed by the quantum threat already exists today. The so-called \u201cHarvest Now, Decrypt Later\u201d scenario describes an attack strategy that is actively being used: state actors and highly motivated attackers systematically collect encrypted data\u2014including communications, documents, and transactions\u2014with the intention of decrypting it once quantum computers have achieved the required level of computational power. <\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"74:1-74:121;4460-4580\">For organizations that handle data requiring long-term confidentiality, this risk is already material today. The following are particularly affected: <\/p>\n<ul class=\"[li_&amp;]:mb-0 [li_&amp;]:mt-1 [li_&amp;]:gap-1 [&amp;:not(:last-child)_ul]:pb-1 [&amp;:not(:last-child)_ol]:pb-1 list-disc flex flex-col gap-1 pl-8 mb-3\" data-sourcepos=\"76:1-79:58;4582-4773\">\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"76:1-76:47;4582-4628\">Patents with a protection period of 20 years<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"77:1-77:37;4629-4665\">Strategic M&#038;A Information<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"78:1-78:50;4666-4715\">Patient Data and Health Information<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"79:1-79:58;4716-4773\">Long-Term Contracts and Government Communications<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"81:1-81:109;4775-4883\">All of this data may already be in the hands of actors who are simply waiting for the right moment to decrypt it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"83:1-83:432;4885-5316\">Mosca\u2019s Theorem provides a formal framework for quantifying this risk: if the remaining time until a cryptographically relevant quantum computer becomes available (t_quantum) plus the time required for migration (t_migrate) exceeds the required confidentiality period of the data (t_secret), immediate action is necessary. For organizations handling data that must remain confidential for 10 years or more, this threshold has already been reached today. <\/p>\n                    <\/div>\n        \n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div style=\"height:42px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"page-content\"\n         data-header=\"dark\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                    <div class=\"details-text-content\">\n                                <h2>How Long Does a Migration to Post-Quantum Cryptography Take?<\/h2><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"105:1-105:373;6592-6964\">Typical PQC migration projects take between five and ten years, depending on the complexity of the IT environment. The first\u2014and most critical\u2014step is the creation of a cryptographic inventory: a comprehensive overview of all systems, applications, and communication channels that rely on RSA or ECC. Without this inventory, a prioritized migration is not possible. In practice, this inventory is missing in most organizations.   <\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"109:1-109:372;7040-7411\">Both the BSI and NIST consistently recommend establishing crypto agility as a core architectural principle: designing systems in a way that allows cryptographic algorithms to be replaced without requiring a complete redesign of the underlying system architecture. This principle not only improves PQC readiness but also enhances the long-term adaptability of the entire security architecture. <\/p>\n                    <\/div>\n        \n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div style=\"height:40px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"page-content\"\n         data-header=\"dark\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                    <div class=\"details-text-content\">\n                                <h2>Six Steps to PQC Readiness: What Do IT Decision-Makers Need to Do in Practice?<\/h2><ol>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"115:1-115:122;7501-7622\">Create a Cryptographic Inventory \u2013 Which systems, applications, and communication channels rely on RSA or ECC?<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"116:1-116:90;7623-7712\">Risk Prioritization \u2013 Which data assets require confidentiality for 10 years or longer?<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"117:1-117:94;7713-7806\">Establish a PQC Readiness Task Force \u2013 Bring together stakeholders from IT, Security, Compliance, and Legal to drive the transition across the organization.<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"118:1-118:119;7807-7925\">Embed Crypto Agility as a Core Architectural Principle \u2013 Enable cryptographic algorithms to be replaced without having to redesign or rebuild entire systems.<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"119:1-119:141;7926-8066\">Plan Hybrid Certificates as a Transition Strategy \u2013 Ensure backward compatibility while immediately enabling protection against \u201cHarvest Now, Decrypt Later\u201d threats.<\/li>\n<li class=\"font-claude-response-body whitespace-normal break-words pl-2\" data-sourcepos=\"120:1-120:110;8067-8176\">Define Vendor Requirements \u2013 Establish PQC readiness as a procurement criterion in RFPs and vendor selection processes.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n                    <\/div>\n        \n    <\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div style=\"height:39px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"page-content\"\n         data-header=\"dark\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                    <div class=\"details-text-content\">\n                                <h2> Conclusion \u2013 The Urgency Does Not Come from the Quantum Computer Itself<\/h2><p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"126:1-126:197;8253-8449\">The most common misconception in discussions about post-quantum cryptography is the assumption that organizations only need to take action once quantum computers are actually operational. The opposite is true. <\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"128:1-128:88;8451-8538\"><strong>The urgency is driven by the time required for migration\u2014not by the quantum computer itself.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal\" data-sourcepos=\"130:1-130:303;8540-8842\">For data that requires long-term confidentiality, the risk posed by \u201cHarvest Now, Decrypt Later\u201d attacks already exists today. Organizations that start now have the opportunity to execute a structured and prioritized migration. Those that wait are unlikely to complete the transition in time\u2014and may ultimately find themselves sitting on a vast amount of already compromised data without even realizing it.  <\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"130:1-130:303;8540-8842\">\n<p data-sourcepos=\"130:1-130:303;8540-8842\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center\" data-sourcepos=\"130:1-130:303;8540-8842\">Manage Now supports IT decision-makers in assessing their current cryptographic infrastructure and planning a structured PQC migration. 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